2020 Michigan vs Indiana

This matchup definitely feels like on of the more dirty plays we’ve had but it feels like an opportunity at some value too. There’s never a world where this line is lower than it is now and there’s very rarely a time when a powerhouse program with something to play for is this undervalued. I’m also hoping what happened last week was similar to what we saw happen to LSU earlier in the year when they really thought they were just sleep walking against Mississippi State and they followed up a decent win against Vandy, but then found out they aren’t as good as they thought they were when they lost to Missouri. I hope we’re getting that team this week because LSU came through and dominated South Carolina the next week. Similar situation where Michigan likely bought into the hype too much after week one and paid dearly playing what looked to be a bad Michigan State squad. We gave Michigan a sizable downgrade and even gave Indiana a little bit of an upgrade and we still have Michigan closer to a TD favorite so we’ll take a flier on them at 3 and no more.

Michigan -3 (-110) – 2.5 % Bankroll Wager

CFU Model Results