LSU vs Clemson – 2019-20 National Championship Game (Sample)

LSU has pushed their way into being fairly sizable favorites after their past few weeks (Texas A&M, Georgia, Oklahoma). Our numbers were high on LSU prior to kick on these games so we haven’t had to adjust them nearly as much as others in the industry. With that said, the number here is likely a fair number at LSU -6. It feels like sportsbooks might be trying to compensate for the previous week’s initial lines on LSU where they obviously had them undervalued and sharps (and even the public) cashed out big time on LSU. If we had to be wagering this week we’d be looking at either a Clemson ML play or LSU covering. LSU -6 still feels like it might be a little high (mainly because we don’t see a world where it ever gets to LSU -7 before Clemson money flies in to bring it back down). So, if you’re dying for a sweat the most value on the board is Clemson ML, they are obviously a solid team with a fighter’s chance with all signs yelling the market might be over-reacting to the last month’s worth of games for these two teams. In the event Clemson happens to find an early lead we’ll likely have a great opportunity to live wager on LSU and get a chance at hitting a nice middle.

CFU Model Results